Diplomacy, Allies and Deterrence: Why Give Adversaries a Veto Power on Legitimate Allied Actions?

By Robbin Laird

In our book on The Rebuilding of American Military Power in the Pacific, we shaped a way to shape an interactive strategy with allies and partners. And we did so from the standpoint of how evolving US and allied military capabilities might work effectively with one another to provide for deterrence in depth.

And we have done a number of interviews which have pursued the deterrence in depth strategy.

http://www.sldinfo.com/shaping-deterrence-in-depth-strategy-the-key-role-of-focused-partnerships-and-multilateralism/

http://www.sldinfo.com/japan-dynamic-defense-and-reshaping-deterrence-in-depth/

http://www.sldinfo.com/admiral-manazir-on-the-impact-of-global-partnerships-for-deterrence-in-depth/

http://www.sldinfo.com/allied-pacific-exercises-and-training-shaping-a-deterrence-in-depth-strategy/

http://www.sldinfo.com/the-distributed-laydown-in-the-pacific-and-deterrence-in-depth-lt-general-robling-discusses-the-evolution-of-the-usn-usmc-team-in-the-pacific/

http://www.sldinfo.com/marine-rotational-force-darwin-is-welcomed-to-australia-a-key-element-in-deterrence-in-depth/

http://www.sldinfo.com/the-umscs-distributed-laydown-in-the-pacific-a-key-element-in-a-deterrence-in-depth-strategy/

A key ally in the Pacific, which is enhancing its capabilities to provide for perimeter defense, is Japan. And clearly the Japanese are doing so to deal with the Chinese trying to shape an agenda which pushes their power out into the region and beyond.

The Japanese government has been very clear with regard to their approach and the US has been quite PUBLICALLY supportive of their evolving strategy.

Allowing China at the table to veto allied actions in the legitimate defense of their interest’s undercuts deterrence, not strengthen it.

Thanks to the revelations rolling out from Secretary Clinton’s private email survey we are becoming privy to the Administration’s strategy of doing just that!

n-senkaku-a-20160201-200x200

An architect of such an approach apparently was Clinton’s key aide on Asia, Kurt Campbell.

A recent article published in The Japan Times provides insight into the let China at the table to veto an allied approach strategy.

The United States urged Japan to consult with China before its provocative Senkaku Islands purchase in 2012, a declassified email forwarded to then-U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has revealed. 

In the email, dated Sept. 3, 2012 — roughly a week before the Japanese government bought three islets in the chain from their private Japanese owner — then-U.S. Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Kurt Campbell said he had urged Japan via Kenichiro Sasae, Japan’s vice foreign minister at the time, to “consult and advise Beijing on their plans.” 

Campbell said he had requested Japan’s prior consultation with China when he met with Sasae on Aug. 7, 2012, in Tokyo. At that time, the Japanese government had “just concluded a round of deliberations and apparently their PRC (People’s Republic of China) counterparts were irate,” he said in the email. 

“Sasae however believes that China actually understands the necessity of these actions and will accept them. (I’m not so sure.),” Campbell said in the message sent to senior State Department officials. 

The Japanese government, which administers the Senkakus, purchased three of the five main islets on Sept. 11, 2012, effectively nationalizing the uninhabited chain, which lies in the East China Sea. The action stoked widespread anger in China and sparked a wave of anti-Japanese protests across the nation. 

The email, entitled “Sasae call,” was written shortly after the vice foreign minister conveyed to Washington over the phone that the central government had intended to nationalize the Senkakus. 

It was declassified Friday by the State Department in connection with Clinton’s risky use of a private email server during her recent stint as America’s top diplomat. Republicans are focusing on the unfolding security issue to criticize Clinton’s presidential bid. 

In the message, Campbell also said that although the government and the owner of the islands had agreed on a price, then-Tokyo Gov. Shintaro Ishihara, a nationalist who kicked off the whole issue by raising funds for the Tokyo Metropolitan Government’s bid for the uninhabited islands, was “unlikely to consent” to the central government’s interference.

http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2016/01/31/national/u-s-urged-japan-consult-china-2012-senkakus-purchase/?utm_source=Daily+News+Updates&utm_campaign=03cc4c02f8-Monday_email_updates01_02_2016&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c5a6080d40-03cc4c02f8-332756961#.VrEntMf_s7k

This is not just a bad precedent but also perhaps an expression of policy beyond that of Campbell himself.

 

 

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